BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 86 Overall: (27-10) Overall Strength = 43.24
Conference: Sunbelt Record: (15-6) | District: 1-02 Record: (24-9)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home L * 40.09 66 68 1 78 (26- 7) Ball St -3.52 1.52
2 11-07-2025 Away W * 42.13 87 77 1 1 217 (13-17) Tarleton St -1.48 11.48
3 11-11-2025 Away L 25.84 75 97 1 72 (17-17) Missouri -17.77 -4.23
4 11-15-2025 Home W * 33.95 76 67 1 238 (15-16) Ark Little Rock -9.66 18.66
5 11-19-2025 Away L * 17.99 58 81 1 134 (21-11) Central Arkansas -25.63 2.63
6 11-23-2025 Away W * 27.43 75 69 1 328 (12-19) Jackson St -16.18 22.18
7 11-28-2025 Neutral W 51.15 83 66 1 157 ( 7-23) Houston 7.54 9.46
8 11-30-2025 Neutral W * 54.67 74 54 1 174 (15-16) Kent 11.06 8.94
9 12-03-2025 Home W * 40.86 68 58 1 184 (16-16) Florida Gulf Coast -2.75 12.75
10 12-06-2025 Home W * 35.49 78 66 1 261 (13-17) TN Martin -8.12 20.12
11 12-09-2025 Home W 43.61 97 46 ZZ 116 ( 0- 1) S Arkansas -0.00 * 51.00
12 12-17-2025 Home W * * 53.68 79 58 1 153 (16-16) ULM 10.07 10.93
13 12-20-2025 Home W * * 43.72 74 61 1 177 (17-19) South Alabama 0.11 12.89
14 12-28-2025 Away W 53.48 81 72 1 100 (12-20) Arkansas 9.86 -0.86
15 01-01-2026 Away W * * 43.02 91 83 1 179 (15-16) Southern Miss -0.59 8.59
16 01-03-2026 Away W * * 56.05 89 71 1 153 (16-16) ULM 12.44 5.56
17 01-08-2026 Away W * * 76.09 107 67 1 177 (17-19) South Alabama 32.48 7.52
18 01-10-2026 Away L * * 26.37 64 86 1 70 (25- 8) Troy -17.24 -4.76
19 01-15-2026 Home W * * 56.50 75 34 1 315 ( 5-26) Louisiana 12.88 * 28.12
20 01-17-2026 Home W * * 39.65 81 71 1 179 (15-16) Southern Miss -3.96 13.96
21 01-21-2026 Home W * * 61.53 84 55 1 156 (18-14) Old Dominion 17.92 11.08
22 01-25-2026 Home W * * 56.26 74 67 1 47 (26- 9) James Madison 12.64 -5.64
23 01-29-2026 Away W * * 38.44 69 61 1 243 (10-21) Georgia St -5.17 13.17
24 02-04-2026 Home W * * 42.18 78 70 1 136 (14-18) Coastal Car -1.43 9.43
25 02-07-2026 Away L * 31.26 73 76 1 1 193 (13-16) Eastern Michigan -12.36 9.36
26 02-11-2026 Away L * * 37.15 60 69 1 83 (23- 8) Ga Southern -6.46 -2.54
27 02-14-2026 Away L * * 35.96 54 62 1 97 (27- 9) Marshall -7.65 -0.35
28 02-18-2026 Away W * * 43.37 75 61 1 253 (11-19) Texas St -0.24 14.24
29 02-21-2026 Away W * * 46.86 92 66 1 315 ( 5-26) Louisiana 3.25 22.75
30 02-24-2026 Home L * * 36.00 54 61 1 70 (25- 8) Troy -7.61 0.61
31 02-27-2026 Home W * * 58.00 87 53 1 253 (11-19) Texas St 14.39 19.61
32 03-07-2026 Neutral W * * 43.37 76 68 1 153 (16-16) ULM -0.24 8.24
33 03-08-2026 Neutral L * * 35.69 73 83 1 70 (25- 8) Troy -7.92 -2.08
34 03-23-2026 Home W * 57.88 83 52 1 219 (23-13) Radford 14.27 16.73
35 03-27-2026 Home W * 45.38 83 72 1 132 (21-14) PFW 1.76 9.24
36 03-30-2026 Home W * 50.93 71 53 1 152 (26-10) Cleveland St 7.31 10.69
37 04-01-2026 Home L * * 31.59 62 69 1 97 (27- 9) Marshall -12.02 5.02
Averages 43.61 76.4 66.2
Best game: 76.09 = 40 point win over South Alabama
Worst game: 17.99 = 23 point loss to Central Arkansas
Team stdev: 11.77