BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 90 Overall: (24-9) Overall Strength = 42.54
Conference: Sunbelt Record: (15-5) | District: 1-02 Record: (21-8)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home L * 40.36 66 68 1 77 (25- 6) Ball St -2.61 0.61
2 11-07-2025 Away W * 42.39 87 77 1 1 214 (12-16) Tarleton St -0.58 10.58
3 11-11-2025 Away L 25.41 75 97 1 74 (16-16) Missouri -17.56 -4.44
4 11-15-2025 Home W * 34.07 76 67 1 234 (15-16) Ark Little Rock -8.89 17.89
5 11-19-2025 Away L * 17.85 58 81 1 132 (21-11) Central Arkansas -25.11 2.11
6 11-23-2025 Away W * 27.22 75 69 1 329 (12-18) Jackson St -15.74 21.74
7 11-28-2025 Neutral W 51.04 83 66 1 154 ( 7-23) Houston 8.07 8.93
8 11-30-2025 Neutral W * 54.35 74 54 1 176 (15-15) Kent 11.39 8.61
9 12-03-2025 Home W * 41.05 68 58 1 179 (16-15) Florida Gulf Coast -1.91 11.91
10 12-06-2025 Home W * 35.65 78 66 1 259 (13-17) TN Martin -7.31 19.31
11 12-09-2025 Home W 42.96 97 46 ZZ 116 ( 0- 1) S Arkansas 0.00 * 51.00
12 12-17-2025 Home W * * 53.36 79 58 1 158 (16-16) ULM 10.39 10.61
13 12-20-2025 Home W * * 43.44 74 61 1 178 (16-18) South Alabama 0.47 12.53
14 12-28-2025 Away W 53.07 81 72 1 98 (12-20) Arkansas 10.11 -1.11
15 01-01-2026 Away W * * 42.55 91 83 1 183 (15-16) Southern Miss -0.41 8.41
16 01-03-2026 Away W * * 55.65 89 71 1 158 (16-16) ULM 12.69 5.31
17 01-08-2026 Away W * * 75.73 107 67 1 178 (16-18) South Alabama 32.77 7.23
18 01-10-2026 Away L * * 26.00 64 86 1 71 (25- 7) Troy -16.96 -5.04
19 01-15-2026 Home W * * 56.08 75 34 1 315 ( 5-26) Louisiana 13.11 * 27.89
20 01-17-2026 Home W * * 39.26 81 71 1 183 (15-16) Southern Miss -3.70 13.70
21 01-21-2026 Home W * * 61.18 84 55 1 160 (18-14) Old Dominion 18.21 10.79
22 01-25-2026 Home W * * 55.89 74 67 1 51 (26- 8) James Madison 12.93 -5.93
23 01-29-2026 Away W * * 38.03 69 61 1 242 (10-21) Georgia St -4.93 12.93
24 02-04-2026 Home W * * 41.80 78 70 1 137 (14-18) Coastal Car -1.16 9.16
25 02-07-2026 Away L * 31.03 73 76 1 1 194 (13-16) Eastern Michigan -11.94 8.94
26 02-11-2026 Away L * * 37.19 60 69 1 83 (23- 7) Ga Southern -5.77 -3.23
27 02-14-2026 Away L * * 34.18 54 62 1 105 (23- 9) Marshall -8.78 0.78
28 02-18-2026 Away W * * 42.93 75 61 1 251 (11-19) Texas St -0.03 14.03
29 02-21-2026 Away W * * 46.37 92 66 1 315 ( 5-26) Louisiana 3.41 22.59
30 02-24-2026 Home L * * 35.71 54 61 1 71 (25- 7) Troy -7.26 0.26
31 02-27-2026 Home W * * 57.64 87 53 1 251 (11-19) Texas St 14.67 19.33
32 03-07-2026 Neutral W * * 43.00 76 68 1 158 (16-16) ULM 0.04 7.96
33 03-08-2026 Neutral L * * 35.35 73 83 1 71 (25- 7) Troy -7.61 -2.39
Averages 42.96 76.6 66.8
Best game: 75.73 = 40 point win over South Alabama
Worst game: 17.85 = 23 point loss to Central Arkansas
Team stdev: 11.94