BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 86 Overall: (27-10) Overall Strength = 43.30
Conference: Sunbelt Record: (15-6) | District: 1-02 Record: (24-9)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home L * 40.10 66 68 1 78 (26- 7) Ball St -3.57 1.57
2 11-07-2025 Away W * 42.15 87 77 1 1 217 (13-17) Tarleton St -1.52 11.52
3 11-11-2025 Away L 25.82 75 97 1 72 (17-17) Missouri -17.86 -4.14
4 11-15-2025 Home W * 33.94 76 67 1 239 (15-16) Ark Little Rock -9.73 18.73
5 11-19-2025 Away L * 17.99 58 81 1 134 (21-11) Central Arkansas -25.68 2.68
6 11-23-2025 Away W * 27.44 75 69 1 328 (12-19) Jackson St -16.23 22.23
7 11-28-2025 Neutral W 51.15 83 66 1 156 ( 7-23) Houston 7.48 9.52
8 11-30-2025 Neutral W * 54.71 74 54 1 173 (15-16) Kent 11.04 8.96
9 12-03-2025 Home W * 40.85 68 58 1 185 (16-16) Florida Gulf Coast -2.82 12.82
10 12-06-2025 Home W * 35.49 78 66 1 261 (13-17) TN Martin -8.18 20.18
11 12-09-2025 Home W 43.67 97 46 ZZ 116 ( 0- 1) S Arkansas 0.00 * 51.00
12 12-17-2025 Home W * * 53.74 79 58 1 153 (16-16) ULM 10.07 10.93
13 12-20-2025 Home W * * 43.78 74 61 1 176 (17-19) South Alabama 0.11 12.89
14 12-28-2025 Away W 53.45 81 72 1 100 (12-20) Arkansas 9.77 -0.77
15 01-01-2026 Away W * * 43.07 91 83 1 178 (15-16) Southern Miss -0.60 8.60
16 01-03-2026 Away W * * 56.11 89 71 1 153 (16-16) ULM 12.44 5.56
17 01-08-2026 Away W * * 76.16 107 67 1 176 (17-19) South Alabama 32.49 7.51
18 01-10-2026 Away L * * 26.42 64 86 1 69 (25- 8) Troy -17.25 -4.75
19 01-15-2026 Home W * * 56.54 75 34 1 314 ( 5-26) Louisiana 12.87 * 28.13
20 01-17-2026 Home W * * 39.70 81 71 1 178 (15-16) Southern Miss -3.97 13.97
21 01-21-2026 Home W * * 61.60 84 55 1 155 (18-14) Old Dominion 17.93 11.07
22 01-25-2026 Home W * * 56.31 74 67 1 48 (26- 9) James Madison 12.64 -5.64
23 01-29-2026 Away W * * 38.52 69 61 1 237 (10-21) Georgia St -5.15 13.15
24 02-04-2026 Home W * * 42.25 78 70 1 136 (14-18) Coastal Car -1.43 9.43
25 02-07-2026 Away L * 31.28 73 76 1 1 192 (13-16) Eastern Michigan -12.39 9.39
26 02-11-2026 Away L * * 37.22 60 69 1 82 (23- 8) Ga Southern -6.45 -2.55
27 02-14-2026 Away L * * 36.50 54 62 1 93 (28- 9) Marshall -7.18 -0.82
28 02-18-2026 Away W * * 43.41 75 61 1 253 (11-19) Texas St -0.26 14.26
29 02-21-2026 Away W * * 46.92 92 66 1 314 ( 5-26) Louisiana 3.25 22.75
30 02-24-2026 Home L * * 36.05 54 61 1 69 (25- 8) Troy -7.62 0.62
31 02-27-2026 Home W * * 58.03 87 53 1 253 (11-19) Texas St 14.36 19.64
32 03-07-2026 Neutral W * * 43.43 76 68 1 153 (16-16) ULM -0.25 8.25
33 03-08-2026 Neutral L * * 35.74 73 83 1 69 (25- 8) Troy -7.93 -2.07
34 03-23-2026 Home W * 57.88 83 52 1 219 (23-13) Radford 14.20 16.80
35 03-27-2026 Home W * 45.38 83 72 1 132 (21-14) PFW 1.71 9.29
36 03-30-2026 Home W * 50.93 71 53 1 152 (26-10) Cleveland St 7.26 10.74
37 04-01-2026 Home L * * 32.12 62 69 1 93 (28- 9) Marshall -11.55 4.55
Averages 43.67 76.4 66.2
Best game: 76.16 = 40 point win over South Alabama
Worst game: 17.99 = 23 point loss to Central Arkansas
Team stdev: 11.76